Republicans Face Narrow Margin Of Error In SCOTUS Nomination Battle

With President Trump preparing to announce his Supreme Court pick tonight at 9 pm, it appears restive social conservatives are making some headway in their last-minute push to dissuade the president from going with the purported frontrunner, US circuit judge Brett Kavanaugh. However, as Axios pointed out, the push to nominate a deeply conservative justice could be scuttled by moderate Republican senators, who could easily sink a nomination that they don't support.

As Axios explains, "Republicans have a narrower margin for error than they did when the Senate confirmed Trump's first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch by a vote of 54-45 in April 207."

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Thanks to Doug Jones, the Democrat who defeated Roy Moore to win Attorney General Jeff Sessions' former Senate seat late last year, Trump will likely need the unanimous support of the entire Republican caucus if Sen. John McCain, who has been away from Washington since December as he battles brain cancer, doesn't show up to vote.

Assuming McCain misses the vote (which is widely expected) Republicans will be left with a 50-49 margin (factoring in the fact that two independents in the Senate typically caucus with the Democrats). That means either Susan Collins of Maine or Lisa Murkowski of Alaska could end up being the swing vote. Both have hinted that they might balk at a nominee who would vote to overturn Roe. v. Wade.

According to the Wall Street Journal, several of the president's key confidants - including Fox host Sean Hannity - are pushing for Amy Coney Barrett, who clerked for deceased Justice Antonin Scalia, or Thomas Hardiman. Several people close to Trump said the final decision could be made just hours before the 9 pm ET announcement. "It's a jump ball," one anonymous official told WSJ.

Doubts that Kavanaugh will be Trump's pick are beginning to fester, even among the "smart money". While he has maintained his frontrunner status on online betting markets like PredictIt, the odds have moved lower.

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Endgame Napoleon SWRichmond Mon, 07/09/2018 - 14:15 Permalink

I do not have a background in the law, but from working at the Department of Human Services, I do know that the birthright citizenship issue is the bigly issue. It is how illegal aliens with instant-citizen / US-born kids get their major household bills—groceries, housing, etc.—paid by government. It is how they get monthly cash assistance and up to $6,431 in refundable child tax credits. 

All womb-productive illegal aliens in single-breadwinner households with US-born kids have to do is work for low, [traceable] earnings that keep them under the income limits for multiple, womb-productivity-based welfare programs, enabling them to undercut the wages of male citizens for 40 years.

It is bigly unfair and makes a mockery of the law. 

Here is some stuff from Ann Coulter, suggesting that Hardiman worked as a legal aid lawyer, helping immigrants navigate the asylum process among other things. I thought I read that Hardiman had a strong record on this first-and-foremost issue for Deplorables, but leave it to Coulter to really research the issue. 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/lawandcrime.com/high-profile/ann-coulter-j…

 

In reply to by SWRichmond

chubbar MozartIII Mon, 07/09/2018 - 13:23 Permalink

No judge is stupid enough to go on record about how they'd vote on a case that they may end up having to adjudicate, they'd have to recuse themselves if they did. Therefore, no potential SC nominee can ever answer the question whether they support Roe V Wade or not.

So, how the fuck do the libtards intend to have this question answered by any of the potential nominees? Even Trump can't ask them that question during his interviews.

Once again we see how the libtarded mind works to create a problem that can't be resolved and then use that as a reason to block appointments. These people are assholes!

In reply to by MozartIII

Scipio Africanuz MozartIII Mon, 07/09/2018 - 15:11 Permalink

This SCOTUS nomination battle, reveals that the right is just as tyrannical as the left. The only time either refers to the Republic, is when it protects their pet cause, and penalises the opposition, nobody cares about Liberty, nobody!

It's looking increasingly likely that the Republic can no longer be restored, there are not enough believers in it anymore. Government has become the cudgel to batter opponents. The foundation Christian ethos of live and let live, seems to have emigrated.

Perhaps we're fighting to restore the Republic in the wrong location, perhaps the foundation spirit has moved somewhere else, perhaps we should scour the world for nation, or nations that adhere to the ideals of the Republic.

I'm not heartened one bit, from the constituency that I expected to understand best, the ideals of Liberty for all, and that would be those who claim to be conservatives. There's intolerance, hatred, and a lust for domination on both sides, it's sickening.

Anyway, soon, we'll find out, and discern whether there'll be a chance for the Republic, or if it's lights out, after which we must like Aeneas, make the hard call...

In reply to by MozartIII

BandGap Mon, 07/09/2018 - 12:18 Permalink

How about judging people based on their history in upholding the Constitution and on the merit of their character as defined during their responses during their interview?

I know, crazy shit.

I fucking hate politics anymore.

Chupacabra-322 Mon, 07/09/2018 - 12:19 Permalink

Couple of old quotes Circa: 2009.  

 

“Good judgement comes form experience.  Unfortunately, the experience usually comes from bad judgement.”

 

The Fatherland - Socialist / Nazi Germany.

The Motherland - Communist Russia.

The Homeland - An unspeakable Bastard crossbreed of the two above.

Cautiously Pes… Snout the First Mon, 07/09/2018 - 12:36 Permalink

Creed does a great job of putting to music what McCain has to look forward to after he take his last breath:

A court is in session, a verdict is in
No appeal on the docket today
Just my own sin
The walls are cold and pale
The cage made of steel
Screams fill the room
Alone I drop and kneel
Silence now the sound
My breath the only motion around
Demons cluttering around
My face showing no emotion
Shackled by my sentence
Expecting no return
Here there is no penance
My skin begins to burn

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pysc0_OznwM

In reply to by Snout the First

Chupacabra-322 Mon, 07/09/2018 - 12:26 Permalink

The Difference.

J. Speer-Willams

June 16, 2010.

 

New-Cons. Love War & torture, increased regulations, tyranny and taxes; with our taxes going to the plutocrats of the private banking community.  They support governmental destruction of our environment, under the pretender of protecting it.  They, also, overtly support corporatism (Fascism for Oligarchs) and any measures supported by the Republican Party that enrich the private International Monetary / Banking Cartel at the expensive of the. American People. 

 

New- Libs. Love War & torture, increased regulations, tyranny and taxes; with our taxes going to the plutocrats of the private banking community.  They support governmental destruction of our environment, under the pretender of protecting it.  They, also, overtly support corporatism (Socialism for Oligarchs) and any measures supported by the Democratic Party that enrich the private International Monetary / Banking Cartel at the expensive of the. American People.