Tropical Storm Hector Expected To Become Hurricane By Weekend, Could Threaten Hawaii

Just as we enter peak hurricane season — considered globally as occurring in the month of September — a tropical storm currently far of the eastern coast of Mexico in the Pacific is headed toward Hawaii, and is expected to become a hurricane by the weekend

The AP reports, citing new data from the US National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Hector is gaining strength as it moves deeper into the Pacific:

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Hector would gradually strengthen and reach hurricane strength by late Friday or early Saturday, but it also said the storm would continue to move deeper into the Pacific and would not pose any threat to land.

Hector had maximum sustained winds of 60 mph (95 kph) Wednesday night. It was centered about 1,010 miles (1,630 kilometers) southwest of the southern tip of Mexico’s Baja California Peninsula and it was moving toward the west at 12 mph (19 kph).

Though currently still nearly 2,000 miles to the east-southeast of Hawaii, The Weather Channel forecasts a "strong tropical system" on a straight westward trajectory that would put it "several hundred miles south of the Hawaiian island chain" resulting it increasing swells; however, a number of factors could result in a significant impact on the southern part of Hawaii

Via The Weather Channel

According The Weather Channel's analysis, a slight northward shift in Hector's current trajectory would bring it closer to Hawaii's path, though still too early to tell:

Two temporary dips in the jet stream might drop far enough south to bring Hector on a slightly more northward path. The first of these dips occurs late this week, but it will likely occur too far ahead of Hector to affect it greatly.

The second dip in the jet stream could be closer to Hector, and it arrives early next week. It is too early to know how strong that dip in the jet stream might be or how much northward pull it could have on Hector since that is nearly a week away, but it is something we will watch.

A few computer models are showing this early next week.

And while still to early to know the potential impact on Hawaii — whether merely increased swells or a more direct path to the south — the storm is expected to pass into the Central Pacific early next week. 

Via The Weather Channel: Computer models show Hector could take a more northerly path, potentially impacting Hawaii by early next week. 

Multiple reports say the tropical storm's additional strengthening is forecast to occur over the next several days.

Tropical Storm Hector as of Thursday morning, via Honolulu KHON2

So far it's been a quiet summer for hurricanes and tropical storms heading into the peak of the season, with two hurricanes in the Atlantic in early July, hurricanes Beryl and Chris, which formed around the same time, but which fizzled out in the West Atlantic and were considered weak and unremarkable. 

However, as Hector continues on its westward path in the direction of Hawaii, forecasters expect it to become a Category 2 hurricane by early next week, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph.


pods Thu, 08/02/2018 - 17:28 Permalink

Wetbacks invading Hawaii now too?

Maybe Hector can cool down that lava spittin broad?

How is a Cat 2 even news?  I've generated higher gusts blowing out birthday candles.

adr Thu, 08/02/2018 - 18:00 Permalink

Remember all the supposedly Cat5 storms from the past few years that made landfall as Cat1 and below?

This is a thunderstorm. We had 75mph winds during the last thunderstorm that rolled through. It wasn't a named storm.


knotjammin2 Thu, 08/02/2018 - 18:06 Permalink

While I'm channeling Congressman Hank Johnson who thinks Guam would flip over if we stationed too many Marines there.  Do you think if Hector drops enough rain on Hawaii could it put out the fire in that damn volcano?  Just sayin!

PeaceForWorld knotjammin2 Fri, 08/03/2018 - 02:00 Permalink

I wish that Hector would bring rain to California. We need rain. There are too many fires. I know that all of you hate California, because it is run by Democrats. But in 2016 elections Trump got more votes as a Republican candidate. Plus, we have many people running away from Democratic Party. So please don’t wish ill on all the Californians. 

In reply to by knotjammin2

PeaceForWorld Fri, 08/03/2018 - 02:06 Permalink

Hector is welcome in California, we really need rain. And please don’t hate all the Californians. In 2016 elections Trump got more votes as a Republican. Not all the Californians are for ICE. San Diego County and Orange County are Republican. Please don’t categorize all the Californians as the same. By the way, you will be surprised that majority of Armenian, Assyrian, Asians voted for Trump.

So please don’t wish the worst on us Californians. We really need rain and there are many closeted Republican Californians.