Soft Landing? More Like Crash Landing
Submitted QTR's Fringe Finance
This week on the blog my featured piece was on why I firmly believe the Fed - despite the market rising this week on CPI data - is still ultimately heading for a "crash landing" instead of a "soft landing": The Fed Can't, And Won't, Nail The Dismount
And for those that are not subscribers yet, I'd be humbled to have you as a paid supporter to the blog and am offering one of my steepest discounts possible, a whopping 70% off annual plans.
🔥 This weekend only you can take 70% off an annual subscription. This discount remains active for as long as you wish to remain a subscriber! Get 70% off forever
And last week I wrote about exactly why the recent 30 year auction was such a shit show: Treasury Auctions Explained For People With Short Attention Spans
I also happened to publish a piece called “There’s No Easy Way Out Of This Debt Spiral”, which lays out the exact issue that the rating agencies are being forced to stare down the U.S.’s fiscal situation: There's No Easy Way Out of This Debt Spiral
I also wrote about a couple of tea leaves I’ve noticed over the last two weeks indicating the party in markets is coming to an end. I wrote that individual companies going bust would be first (WeWork, FTX, etc.) but that entire sectors would be next: Douchebag Dominoes Topple Towards Dow's Doomsday
Finally I commended regulators on the quick mop-up job they did with Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX and — again — why I think FTX is a badly needed reality check for markets: Sam Bankman-Badly-Needed-God-Damn-Reality-Check-Fried
Finally, here’s what else is new on the blog:
Time To Think 'Quadrillions', As There's 'Zero Fiscal Restraint' In D.C.
This "Unprecedented" Fiscal Doom Loop Is Getting Worse: Larry Lepard
Global Debt At Record Levels and Rates Are "Going A Lot Higher": Peter Schiff
How Myocarditis Became the Silent Scandal of Covid Vaccination
"As I Look Into The Future, I See Anarchy": Harris Kupperman
Fringe Finance archives:
QTR’s Disclaimer: I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. These positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.