Is Eating-Out Signaling Stocks Are Going Down?

We have discussed this somewhat obscure indicator of our obese nation's spending comfort-factor in the past, but just as divergences from economic and non-equity market realities seem de rigeur currently, we though we'd dust it off. The percentage of disposable income spent on eating-out has plunged dramatically in the last two months (the biggest drop since Lehman!) - after running up in a well-correlated manner with stocks - from the 2009 lows. It would seem that once again, equity hopefulness-divergence is writ large here and yet consumers are not buying the hype/hope.


The ratio of eating-out to disposable income has plunged by its most in 4 years over the last two months...


which perhaps offers some reality checks for our ever hopeful equity market...


Charts: Bloomberg


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