The next Egan Who target is France, which was just cut from A- to BBB+. EURUSD tumbles, unlike what happens when Moody's or S&P downgrades.
French Republic: EJR rates at BBB+ (Neg.) (S&P: AA+) (223727Z FP)
Synopsis: For the most part, over the past 18 months France has been exempted from the rise in funding costs. However, as the crisis evolves, we expect that France will be pressured. The deterioration in France's credit metrics combined with the needed supported for France's banks are likely to pressure the country. A major catalyst is likely to be charges for the weakened periphery countries. Hollande will be under pressure to keep campaign promises which will ultimately hurt credit quality.