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Chicago PMI Unexpectedly Plummets, Longest 'Contraction' Streak Since Lehman

Tyler Durden's Photo
by Tyler Durden
Wednesday, May 31, 2023 - 01:52 PM

After the unexpected resurgence in April, Chicago PMI plunged in May from 48.6 to 40.4 (against expectations of 47.3). That is the ninth straight month below 50 (in contraction)...

Source: Bloomberg

That is the longest streak of prints in 'contraction' since the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the hood, none of the underlying drivers were higher MoM...

  • Prices paid rose at a slower pace; signaling expansion

  • New orders fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Employment fell and the direction reversed; signaling contraction

  • Inventories fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Supplier deliveries rose at a slower pace; signaling expansion

  • Production fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Order backlogs fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

This continues a trend of 'soft' survey data disappointing notably.

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