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Crédit Agricole Doesn't Expect Trump's Mounting Legal Issues To Derail Campaign

Tyler Durden's Photo
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Mar 19, 2024 - 04:35 PM

Former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden clinched their parties' nominations last Tuesday, cementing a general election rematch in November.

Looking ahead, Crédit Agricole analysts provided clients with a complete election timeline of critical dates ahead of the presidential elections on November 5. 

"The Republican convention takes place 15 - 18 July in Milwaukee and the Democratic convention 19 - 22 August in Chicago. While there is no official deadline to replace a candidate, if Trump's legal trials or Biden's health concerns were to catch up to them, the convention offers the last practical chance to switch to a different candidate, though our base case remains a Trump vs Biden rematch," said Valentin Marinov, head of G-10 currency strategy at Credit Agricole.

Marinov outlines several of Trump's mounting legal issues as Democrats weaponize the judicial system against their opponent: 

  1. Federal election interference;

  2. Mar - a - Lago cl classified documents;

  3. Stormy Daniels hush money; and

  4. Georgia election interference

"However, we do not expect these [court cases] to derail Trump's campaign," the analyst said, adding, "With the caveat that we are not lawyers, at least some aspects of certain cases look to be relatively weak and driven by partisanship, while some may end up being delayed to the point that they would have no impact on voting." 

And wouldn't this be wild, as Marinov noted: "Even if he were convicted before Election Day, nothing would prevent Trump from running from jail, so it would come down to a question of how severely that would erode his support." 

Here are the key dates and timeline for the US election to keep an eye on:

Marinov said, "Betting markets see Trump as a slight favorite, and we concur given his advantage in polling, particularly in swing states." 

Separately, Dr. Gad Saad, a marketing professor at the John Molson School of Business at Concordia University in Montreal, posted a list of tactics Democrats are employing to steal the election: 

  1. Engage in sham impeachments

  2. Suppress relevant information (Hunter's laptop highlighting orgiastic Biden corruption) 

  3. Seek to stack the Supreme Court

  4. Change the Electoral College rules

  5. Allow ILLEGAL immigrants to vote 

  6. Refuse voter IDs because these are racist 

  7. Create a fake January 6 insurrection narrative where people have been imprisoned as though they were Genghis Khan

  8. Engage in astoundingly corrupt lawfare in order to ensure that the GOP candidate is mired in endless legal proceed

  9. Have state officials seek to remove the GOP candidate from the ballot box

  10. Engage in very dubious electoral procedures that permit for orgiastic cheating (many countries only allow same-day in-person voting)

And the plan by Democrats to usher in a communist single-party rule over America.

The election cycle is heating up. 

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