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Morgan Stanley's Own Math Puts The AI Buildout Underwater

Tyler Durden's Photo
by Tyler Durden
Authored...

Somewhere in Morgan Stanley's math on artificial intelligence is a data center where everything goes right. It draws as much electricity as a mid-sized city, it is packed with Nvidia's newest chips, and it runs them as fast as the hardware will go. Yet even at full optimization it costs $25 billion a year to rent all that equipment - to produce and sell only $23 billion of output. Already underwater - and Morgan Stanley expects the selling price to keep falling: "likely to go lower over time," in the bank's own words.

Why?

Hourly PriceRevenue ($B)EBIT ($B)ROIC
$7.0018.911.223%
$8.50 (base)22.915.331%
$10.0027.019.339%