economics


80% Plunge In Immigration Is Reshaping Labor Market Math, But AI Wildcard Looms: Goldman

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Labor demand still looks "shaky"...


US Industrial Production Surged In January

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...as ISM Manufacturing survey mysteriously exploded higher.


Impoverishment Of Spaniards Is The Result Of Years Of Interventionist Policies

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Inflation, bloating GDP with public spending and immigration and hidden unemployment are the ingredients of the so-called “economic miracle” of the Sánchez administration...


China's Debt Model Creates Danger Of Stagnation

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The latest social financing figures from China show an economy that is increasingly relying on government debt while private demand for credit remains weak...


Warsh Likes It Hot, And Will Move The Fed's Inflation Target To 2.5-3.5%

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faced with the double jeopardy of declining labor demand or declining labor supply, the Fed will turn a blind eye to this structural uplift in wage inflation. It will do this by de facto moving its inflation target to 2.5-3.5 percent



CPI Preview: "Hawkish Print More Likely Than Dovish Print"

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"The market is expressing a view that the macro data is going to turn softer and is adding duration ahead of the next batch of risk events"


Historic Negative Jobs Revisions: 1 Million Fewer Jobs Added In 2025, Only 15,000 Avg Jobs Monthly

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The US labor market was even worse than the biggest skeptics expected.


"One Shouldn't Panic" At How Bad The January Jobs Report Will Be

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"The rather dire picture of the labor market will pressure the Fed to lower interest rates...  In all, we expect the Fed to cut rates by 100 basis points this year."


Consumer Credit Smashes All Estimates As Monthly Credit Card Debt Unexpectedly Surges By Most In 2 Years

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Meanwhhile, the average credit card APR has gone up in the past 2.5 years despite 1.75% in rate cuts by the Fed. 


January US Jobs Report Rescheduled For February 11

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The January employment report has been rescheduled for Wednesday, Feb. 11, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.


No Global Recession In 2026, But Period Of Poor Growth Continues

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The IMF has not admitted its mistake in assuming stagnation and elevated inflation due to tariffs and prefers to explain the massive upgrades justifying them on lower policy rates, ongoing fiscal support, and high-tech investment...


US Services Sector Surveys Signal Solid Growth In January, But...

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...higher prices, lower new orders, and weaker employment are not helping sentiment.


California Plans "Mileage Tax" To Bleed Citizens For Even More Cash

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California residents who thought they could escape high gas taxes by purchasing an electric car will be disappointed...


This Weeks Jobs, JOLTS Reports To Be Delayed Due To Govt Shutdown

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“Due to the partial federal government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will suspend data collection, processing, and dissemination.”


Huge Surge In New Orders Sends US Manufacturing Activity Near 4 Year Highs

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This was the biggest MoM surge in the ISM print since April 2020 (COVID rebound)...


Bifurcation Nation & The TINA Economy's Freefall

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The endgame of a fully financialized, coercive TINA economy and society is Bifurcation Nation stumbling into the abyss of Depression...


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Germany's PMI "Recovery" Is Built On Layoffs, Price Inflation, And State Expansion

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What we are witnessing is the reaction of the economy to ever-rising energy costs and higher input prices, which - made visible through the inflation index - are passed on to customers and artificially inflate the headline figures...


Why The Next Recession Will Be The Catalyst For Depression

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...a recession will catalyze a collapse of the credit-asset bubble-dependent economy down to its foundations


US Factory Orders Surged In November

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...biggest jump in six months.


Trump Says John Deere Will Invest $70 Million To Build Excavator Factory In North Carolina

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The farm equipment maker will build two new factories in the United States, one in North Carolina and another in Indiana.