Which Countries Think The War In Ukraine Will End In 2025?
February 2025 marks three years since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, escalating the largest conflict in Europe since World War II.
At least 10,000 civilians, including more than 560 children, have been killed, and over 18,500 have been injured since the invasion began.
This graphic, via Visual Capitalist's Bruno Venditti, presents the results of a survey conducted by Ipsos, which asked people in different countries whether they believe the conflict in Ukraine will end in 2025.
Methodology: Ipsos surveyed 33 countries between Friday, October 25, and Friday, November 8, 2024. The survey included 23,721 adults aged 18 and older.
Most Are Pessimistic About Ukraine
The majority of respondents and countries chose โUnlikelyโ, meaning that they do not believe the war will end in 2025.
Country | Likely (%) | Unsure (%) | Unlikely (%) |
---|---|---|---|
๐จ๐ณ China | 59 | 12 | 29 |
๐ฎ๐ฉ Indonesia | 56 | 12 | 32 |
๐ฎ๐ณ India | 51 | 14 | 35 |
๐ฒ๐พ Malaysia | 48 | 20 | 32 |
๐ต๐ญ Philippines | 47 | 15 | 38 |
๐น๐ญ Thailand | 36 | 17 | 47 |
๐น๐ท Tรผrkiye | 34 | 11 | 55 |
๐ฟ๐ฆ South Africa | 30 | 24 | 46 |
๐ฐ๐ท South Korea | 29 | 19 | 52 |
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico | 29 | 19 | 52 |
๐ฎ๐ช Ireland | 27 | 15 | 58 |
๐ต๐ช Peru | 26 | 28 | 46 |
๐ง๐ท Brazil | 26 | 24 | 50 |
๐ต๐ฑ Poland | 26 | 17 | 57 |
๐จ๐ฑ Chile | 26 | 25 | 49 |
๐บ๐ธ United States | 26 | 22 | 52 |
๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore | 25 | 20 | 55 |
๐ท๐ด Romania | 24 | 17 | 59 |
๐ฎ๐น Italy | 23 | 22 | 55 |
๐ช๐ธ Spain | 23 | 21 | 56 |
๐ญ๐บ Hungary | 23 | 25 | 52 |
๐ธ๐ช Sweden | 22 | 13 | 65 |
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland | 22 | 14 | 64 |
๐จ๐ด Colombia | 21 | 28 | 51 |
๐จ๐ฆ Canada | 19 | 22 | 59 |
๐ฆ๐ท Argentina | 19 | 35 | 46 |
๐ฉ๐ช Germany | 17 | 14 | 69 |
๐ฆ๐บ Australia | 17 | 18 | 65 |
๐ฌ๐ง Great Britain | 15 | 17 | 68 |
๐ซ๐ท France | 15 | 18 | 67 |
People in Belgium and the Netherlands are the most pessimistic about the warโs resolution.
Meanwhile, China and Indonesia have the highest share of respondents who believe the war will end this year.
In the United States, 52% said it is unlikely the war will end this year, while 26% believe in a resolution, and 22% remain unsure. President-elect Donald Trump has stated during his campaign that he would take the necessary steps to restore peace and limit the cost of U.S. involvement in foreign wars.
If you enjoyed this topic, check out this graphic that visualizes the top 10 donors to Ukraine between Jan 24, 2022, and July 31, 2023.
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