The Ultimate Decision Tree For War In Iran: BCA Sees 70% Odds Of 'Massive Oil Shock'

Authored by Matt Gertken via BCA Research,

The world saw the beginnings of a "major oil shock," but now it seems to be fading back into a minor oil shock, requiring an update to our analysis.

We give a 30% chance to the positive scenario and a 70% chance to a conflict that drags on and damages the global economy.