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Yield-Curve Dis-Inverts After 'Cool' PPI, Bullion & Bond Prices Bounce

Tyler Durden's Photo
by Tyler Durden
Friday, Jan 12, 2024 - 02:08 PM

'Cooler-than-expected' PPI apparently trumps 'hotter-than-expected' CPI and the markets are reacting 'dovishly' with rate-cut expectations soaring.

The odds of a March rate-cut have jumped back up to over 75%...

And the market now expects 160bps of cuts in 2024...

2Y yields tumbled to 8-month lows...

Which has forced a dis-inversion of the (2s30s) yield curve..

For the first time since October...

And gold is bouncing too...

Ugly-ish bank earnings data makes the case even stronger for The Fed to start cutting in March - as we detailed here and here - and PPI is just the icing on the cake.

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