Hell Is Coming With Rates At 22 Year Highs

The Fed has hiked again, now putting rates at a stunning 22 year high.

Source: WSJ

And people still think we’re going to be in for a soft landing - a hilarious delusion that I once again wrote about this past week.

As I said last week, it is starting to feel now more than ever like we are at the apex of this massive bounce higher markets have taken, despite rates rising as quickly as they ever have and an inverted yield curve that is screaming “recession” at the top of its lungs.

Unlike many others with financial newsletters out there, I’ll be the first to admit that I have eaten large quantities of shit on some of the stocks I’ve been watching for 2023 - namely shorts in names that have gone “full meme” - but there’s also been some names that have outperformed the broader market.

You can have a look into how I’m positioned heading into the second half of the year here.

🔥 50% OFF FOR LIFE: If you’re still not a subscriber, you can take 50% off of an annual subscription by using the below link. I have not raised my prices since I started the blog and this is a chance to lock in a discount that you can retain for as long as you wish to be a subscriber. The discount is good for life: Get 50% off forever

I’m also continuing to keep my eye on the BRICS nations, readying a new gold-backed global reserve currency. The official announcement of the new currency is expected in August during the BRICS summit in South Africa. This announcement from BRICS is a key waypoint in a larger map of dethroning the U.S. dollar as the world’s global reserve currency. Not only does it solidify what we already know — that gold is real money — but it is also the most pronounced public challenge to the U.S. dollar on the global stage in recent memory.

It’s also a serious waypoint in a much larger map of U.S. de-dollarization that I laid out in full just 2 months ago in a length, multiple hour longform interview.

For more on what I’m keeping an eye on, here are some of my most recent posts from the last several weeks (my favorites emphasized in bold):

• Fed’s Balance Sheet Going To $20 Trillion: Larry Lepard

• July Rate Hike Poses Risk Of “Too Far Too Fast”

• CBDCs: A Weapon for Debanking the Banked

• The Soft Landing Charade

• Why Are Intelligent People So Easily Tricked?

• The Killing of Common Sense

• The End of the Freedom to Travel

• On Businesses with Zero Visibility: Harris Kupperman

• The Inverted Yield Curve and Next US Recession

• The Gold Standard Is Back: BRICS To Intro Gold-Backed Reserve Currency

• 3 ESG Stock Picks From A Self Proclaimed ESG Skeptic

• Don't Be The Investing Equivalent Of Dark Helmet From Spaceballs

• The Market Is A Time Bomb And Other Observations

• Destroying The "Woke" Narrative In One Video

• The Trend Is Still Your Friend: Harris Kupperman

• Shipping Expert J Mintzmyer Shares His Top 3 Stocks

• President Biden’s Inflation Malarkey

• Time Has Come To "Load Up" On This One Country: Harris Kupperman

• Trading The Shit Show: June 2023 Portfolio Review

• Cleaned by Capitalism and Soiled by Socialism

• "The Fun Part" Is About To Start For One Commodity: Harris Kupperman

• Hayek and Bitcoin

• 3 Dividend Stocks I'm Chomping Up

• Decentralization and Bitcoin

• There's No Way This Everything Bubble Can't Implode When Facing 5% Rates: Mark Spiegel

• DeSantis Will Defeat Trump

• The Myth of American Inequality and Stagnation

• "Where I'd Put All My Money Today": Chris DeMuth

• Congress Should Protect Americans by Ignoring the FDIC’s “Reform” Options

• Definite Debt Default

• Why Do Friends of Freedom Dread the World Economic Forum?

• Our Economic Arrogance Will Be Our Undoing

• So Why Aren’t We Paying Down the National Debt?

• There Will Be Consequences

• The Path to Full Stagflation

• U.S. Dollar & Sovereign Debt Endgame

• A Repeat of the Housing Crisis: The Biden Administration’s Loan Level Price Adjustment

• The Economy Is A Powder Keg, Boiling Over And Ready To Blow

• Top Ten Quotes From The NYT Fauci Interview

• Old Crow Janet Yellen's Banking Medicine Show

And Fringe Finance archive access:

• Posts from 2023

• Posts from 2022

• Posts from 2021

QTR’s Disclaimer: I am an idiot writing a blog and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning and generally trade like a degenerate psychopath. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities or any asset class - just my opinions of me and my guests. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in and I’m sure have lost more than I’ve made in my time in markets. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. Positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it three times because it’s that important.