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Why Hunter Biden's DOJ Deal Went Up In Smoke

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by Portfolio Armor
Thursday, Jul 27, 2023 - 12:31
Hunter Biden

Hunter's Sweetheart Deal Goes Up In Smoke

Regular readers may recall the name Will Scharf: he's a former federal prosecutor in President Trump's DOJ and an alumnus of Harvard Law School (as a white man, no less, meaning he didn't benefit from affirmative action) who's currently running for Attorney General of Missouri. We quoted him last month in a post on why the Biden DOJ's indictment of Trump was outrageous. 

Last night, he offered his take on what happened during Hunter Biden's court session

Based on conversations with people who were in the courtroom today, and my experience as a former federal prosecutor, I think I know the full story of what happened with the Hunter Biden plea agreement blow-up this morning.

Bear with me, because this is a little complicated:

Typically, if the Government is offering to a defendant that it will either drop charges or decline to bring new charges in return for the defendant's guilty plea, the plea is structured under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 11(c)(1)(A). An agreement not to prosecute Hunter for FARA violations or other crimes in return for his pleading guilty to the tax misdemeanors, for example, would usually be a (c)(1)(A) plea. This is open, transparent, subject to judicial approval, etc.

In Hunter's case, according to what folks in the courtroom have told me, Hunter's plea was structured under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 11(c)(1)(B), which is usually just a plea in return for a joint sentencing recommendation only, and contained no information on its face about other potential charges, and contained no clear agreement by DOJ to forego prosecution of other charges.

Instead, DOJ and Hunter's lawyers effectively hid that part of the agreement in what was publicly described as a pretrial diversion agreement relating to a § 922(g)(3) gun charge against Hunter for being a drug user in possession of a firearm.

That pretrial diversion agreement as written was actually MUCH broader than just the gun charge. If Hunter were to complete probation, the pretrial diversion agreement prevented DOJ from ever bringing charges against Hunter for any crimes relating to the offense conduct discussed in the plea agreement, which was purposely written to include his foreign influence peddling operations in China and elsewhere.

So they put the facts in the plea agreement, but put their non-prosecution agreement in the pretrial diversion agreement, effectively hiding the full scope of what DOJ was offering and Hunter was obtaining through these proceedings. Hunter's upside from this deal was vast immunity from further prosecution if he finished a couple years of probation, and the public wouldn't be any the wiser because none of this was clearly stated on the face of the plea agreement, as would normally be the case.

Judge Noreika smelled a rat. She understood that the lawyers were trying to paint her into a corner and hide the ball. Instead, she backed DOJ and Hunter's lawyers into a corner by pulling all the details out into the open and then indicating that she wasn't going to approve a deal as broad as what she had discovered.

DOJ, attempting to save face and save its case, then stated on the record that the investigation into Hunter was ongoing and that Hunter remained susceptible to prosecution under FARA. Hunter's lawyers exploded. They clearly believed that FARA was covered under the deal, because as written, the pretrial diversion agreement language was broad enough to cover it. They blew up the deal, Hunter pled not guilty, and that's the current state of play.

And so here we are. Hunter's lawyers and DOJ are going to go off and try to pull together a new set of agreements, likely narrower, to satisfy Judge Noreika. Fortunately, I doubt if FARA or any charges related to Hunter's foreign influence peddling will be included, which leaves open the possibility of further investigations leading to further prosecutions.

Basically, Hunter's lawyers tried to get him immunized against any future prosecutions related to his foreign influence peddling, and they failed, at least for now, thanks to an honest judge. 

Maybe rule of law in America isn't dead yet. 

Let's wrap this up with a few quick updates. 

A Few Quick Updates

  • Lowe's Relents. Readers may recall this poor woman Donna Hansbrough who got fired by Lowe's after she tried to stop some shoplifters. After a backlash, Lowe's rehired her
  • Portfolio Armor's Top Ten Names. Thursdays are when we post our current top ten names. Those are the securities our system estimates will have the highest potential returns, net of hedging costs, over the next six months. Here's how our top ten names from six months ago did.
  • Three More Earnings Trades. We have three earnings trades teed up today, for companies that report after the close today or before the open Friday. These are fun, as you can make 100% overnight if the trades workout (you can also lose 100%, so we keep our position sizes modest with them). If you want a heads up when we place them, feel free to subscribe to our trading Substack/occasional email list below. 

 

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