How My Investing Strategy Shifts As We Enter Economic Abyss

Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance

While most of my investing outlook for the rest of the year remains the same, I have thought about some strategy changes I’d like to make before writing about what names I’ll be watching in 2026.

I wanted to detail some of those strategy shifts here, as well as offer a comprehensive reminder of where I stand on markets in general and talk about some stocks and sectors I haven’t discussed up to this point in 2025.

First, scorrrrrreeee-boarrrrrrd. Before I f*ck up 2026 horribly, I wanted to point out that as of this writing my 25 Stocks I’m Watching For 2025 are kicking the living sh*t out of the broader market, outperforming the S&P by 46.4% and rising by 57.8% on an equal weighted basis.

Most of the outperformance has come from incredible moves in both gold miners and uranium—two areas where I am making slight adjustments that I’ll talk about later. Here is a chart of the 25 names that I was watching going into the year and how they performed. And below that is a chart of some other random names I’ve talked about this year at points.

Thoughts On The Overall Market/Economic Sh*t Show

For those who want to familiarize themselves with my overall take on where we are in this market cycle, the 15-second version goes like this: I think we’re at a point where positive real rates are finally grinding the economy to a halt, as we’ve seen showing up in job numbers and increased household leverage.

This turning of the economy is going to happen regardless of what the Federal Reserve does today because monetary policy effects have a 12-18 month lag. I firmly believe that the stock market—which is now trading at its all-time highest valuation ever—is likely to eventually enter a period of sharp deleveraging before the Fed cuts rates significantly, implements quantitative easing (QE), and eventually yield curve control, as the long end of the Treasury curve starts to malfunction when people realize we’ve gone from bad to worse in terms of credit risk now that we are monetizing even more debt.

I highlighted all of this in an hour long video interview I did days ago. 

Adjustments In How I Own Gold Miners

I still own bullion and the major miners and always will. But the first slight adjustment heading into the new year I’m considering is in gold miners.

While I definitely plan on maintaining my positions in this space, at some point I may wind up selling a little of the major miners like Newmont Corporation (NEM), Barrick Gold Corporation (B), and the names in the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), to change strategy a bit. I'm thinking that...(READ THIS FULL NOTE HERE). 

QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page here. This post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I’m long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won’t update my positions. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. If you see numbers and calculations of any sort, assume they are wrong and double check them. I failed Algebra in 8th grade and topped off my high school math accolades by getting a D- in remedial Calculus my senior year, before becoming an English major in college so I could bullshit my way through things easier.

The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.