The AI Trade Or Crypto...Which Crashes Hardest?

It’s been a hell of a few days…and this weekend could be interesting in crypto markets, if you want my opinion:

Keep One Eye On Tech...But The Other On Crypto

Between the growing controversy surrounding Nvidia and Jensen Huang, violent market bounces that I don’t trust, and what I think could be the next black swan lurking in crypto, there’s been no shortage of things to write about.

Will Nvidia Pull Guidance And Restate Earnings?

My latest on the Nvidia scandal was out late this week and talks about why I see more bad news coming down the pipe for both Nvidia and the market: I Still Think There's More Bad News Coming

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I’ve also spent some time thinking about how Wall Street encourages investors to overtrade and what happens after markets crash. Violent relief rallies in the market can be intoxicating. They convince people the worst is over, lure investors back into risk, and create a false sense of security.

I explain why the recent bounce hasn’t changed my broader outlook and why the math still worries me: The Seduction Of Market Bounces On The Way Down

After watching the unexpected controversy surrounding Nvidia, I’ve been thinking about where the next major surprise could come from. One place I’d be keeping a particularly close eye on is crypto, as I first noted earlier this week:

Watch Crypto For The Next Black Swan

And I think one of the biggest mistakes investors make is assuming that once stocks have fallen, the bad news has already been priced in. I explain why I think a market crash could be followed by an entirely new wave of unpleasant surprises.

After The Crash, Another Wave Of Bad News Will Be Coming

The common thread? I continue to believe we’re in an environment where complacency is dangerous, valuations matter, and the market’s ability to ignore obvious risks won’t last forever.

That doesn’t mean every day will be red. In fact, some of the most convincing rallies happen precisely when the underlying situation is deteriorating.

As always, my goal isn’t to tell you what you want to hear. It’s to share what I’m seeing, what I’m thinking, and where I believe the risks are hiding.

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Keep One Eye On Tech...But The Other On Crypto

Will Nvidia Pull Guidance And Restate Earnings?

Watch Crypto For The Next Black Swan

After The Crash, Another Wave Of Bad News Will Be Coming

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