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US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

"We Will Not Negotiate": Iran Security Chief Denies WSJ Report

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Meanwhile Trump's top 3 picks to lead Iran were killed in the initial attack...


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Germany's Strategic And Economic Vulnerability

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Germany is losing its competitiveness at ever-shorter cycles. Recent international trade data show that, with this trend, geopolitical options are literally evaporating...


Are We Still In the Early Innings of a Massive Emerging Market Rotation?

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Several macro tailwinds and still very low valuation.

Where Food Inflation Is Expected To Hit Hardest In 2026

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Iran tops the list with a projected 55.9% surge, far above the global average of 3.2%...



Oil: $75 Is Noise. $100 Changes Everything

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$75 Is Noise. $100 Is a Problem.

Memory Becomes The New AI Bottleneck, Weighing On Markets

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A bottleneck is threatening to spill over from AI servers into broader electronic products, pushing up device costs and adding an inflation impulse that could weigh on risk sentiment. 


Cyclicals vs Defensives Had the Worst Week of the Year

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"A miss on ISM could cause pain for the cyclicals/industrials complex that has been heavily bought by the HF + LO community YTD."

Poland Plans Social Media Ban For Under-15s

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Poland joins several other countries around the world that are planning or considering legislation to limit children’s access to social media.


Gulf States Say They've Shot Down More Than 1,500 Iranian Missiles, Drones

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United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan report destroying waves of projectiles, including 400 ballistic missiles, aimed mostly at U.S. forces.


UK, France, Germany Slam Iran For 'Reckless' Retaliation - Are Ready To Assist Israel And US

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The three nations affirmed their intention to actively defend against Iran’s missile and drone strikes on March 1.


When The Return Flight Is The Only Goal: Merz Ends China Trip

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The German Chancellor is returning from his three-day official trip to China. In his luggage: a major order for Airbus and the bitter realization that Germany has been run down into an international lame duck. The detailed reception protocol only underscored respect for European history.


Geopolitics in focus as Gulf war sparked over the weekend; Global risk hit - Newsquawk EU Market Open

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US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Is The US Military Campaign Against Iran Part Of Trump's Grand Strategy Against China?

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...goal is to obtain proxy control over Iran’s enormous oil and gas reserves so that they can be weaponized as leverage against China for coercing it into a lopsided trade deal that would derail its superpower rise


Goldman Derivatives Desk: "Signs Of Fear & Contagion Are Everywhere, But It's Credit That Is Scariest"

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"What started as a single stock flinch early in the month turned into an index flinch mid-month, and finished with the first signs of a credit flinch as CDX IG widened 5 points on the week, amid surging put open interest... of all these (and for good reason), the credit flinch worries me the most" - Goldman


US-Israel War On Iran 'Decided ⁠Weeks Ago' Under Cover Of Nuclear Talks: Report

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"Planning documents" such as Which Path to Persia have also been around for years...


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Joe Biden Accuses Trump Of Planning To 'Steal' The Midterms, Claims Credit For Border Security

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Seriously!?


I Do Solemnly Swear: How Profanity Has Taken Hold Of American Politics

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“Respectfully, f**k off...”


Trump Admin Seeks Months-Long Pause For Tariff Refunds

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Lawyers for the Justice Department warned that "the coming process will take time"...


The Iran Question Is All About China

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Why Operation Epic Fury Is the Opening Act of the Indo-Pacific Century