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3 charts we are watching: What is the next delta in housing?

Maginot Line or strong bottom formation...?

The Goldman "Housing Activity" index has been remarkably steady lately. "The index held at 5 for the week, as the offsetting effects of lower supply and higher home prices have kept it in a relatively narrow range in recent weeks. This comes as purchase applications hold near a new cycle low, 43% below 2019 levels". Follow this index closely for clues of the next delta in housing.

Source: Goldman

 

Homebuilders

Homebuilders chart has something to tell us...? First proper sign of weakness in 6 months. Note the big trend line as well as the 100 day coming in right around these levels.

Source: Refinitiv

 

HFs shorting housing

The "US Housing" theme has seen a notable uptick in short adds in recent weeks, following months of relentless short covering.

Source: MS Prime

 

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