Bond convexity, equity inflows and cheap options

The Market Ear Picture

The 10 year

The US 10 year broke below the bigger trend line a few sessions ago. Note we almost touched the 100 day (4.33%) today. The HS flagged recently is big, but things seldomly move in a straight line. We need to see much more "frustration" if this is a top. The 200 day is down around the 4% area...