Fear in freefall

The Market Ear Picture

No drop market

Downside volatility in SPX has "evaporated". This streak is getting extreme. We have not had a drop of 1.5% for the SPX in 94 days (BBG).

Source: Refinitiv


Sucking fear out of markets

VIX is down, trading around the most recent lows. Another index worth pointing out is the VXTLT. The latest implosion in the VXTLT is rather spectacular.

Source: Refinitiv


Oil's textbook cross

Oil is up 10 dollars since the 50 day crossed above the 200 day. A textbook golden cross. Note that the steep channel high starts around the 96 area.

Source: Refinitiv


New overbought king - oil

The problem with overbought is that it can stay overbought for longer than most think possible...

Source: Refinitiv


Oil not inflationary anymore?

Oil and the 10 year breakeven have broken the tight "connection" during the latest surge in oil.

Source: Refinitiv


Not only AI stocks booming. Their EPS too

Price momentum continues to be fed by upward revisions to EPS estimates.

Source: Soc Gen


Tech profits matter this time around

Money making tech is king these days...contrary to what we saw back in 2020.

Source: TS Lombard



Are current valuations at bubble levels? Goldman says there is little doubt that valuations in the technology sector are high by historical standards.

Source: Goldman


Hated dollar

The crowd remains relatively bearish on the mighty dollar. Imagine we get another massive cross (50, 100, 200 day) like we had back in Q3 2021...

Source: Refinitiv


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