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P/L pain, CTA chasing and imploding war hedges

Wait and see over

CTAs are shocked by the latest melt up in equities land, but they have remained in wait and see mode, but UBS sees this changing: "However, the 'wait and see' mode is likely over. We anticipate significant CTAs buying over the next two weeks, buying back 50% to 60% of their shorts, ie. 50/60$bln worth of global equities". (projections on CTAs see here)

The CTA puke

Second largest drawdown in 2023 for momentum chasers...

Source: Nomura

NASDAQ - mean reversion king

Source: Refinitiv

Fearless tech

Source: Refinitiv

Equities just need stabilized softness

P/L pain in a pic

Source: Nomura

"Rent" upside

Source: Barclays

The stabilizer

Source: GS
Source: Sptogamma

Gold downside ain't rich

Source: Refinitiv
Source: Refinitiv

Oil - puking below the 200 day moving average

Source: Refinitiv