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Sell in May?

Time for May hedges

Equity investors are underestimating the effects of post-Covid inflation on the market, incorrectly assuming a recession is priced in, and overvaluing the Fed's ability to rescue the economy and financial markets during stress. However, option markets provide a favorable opportunity to incorporate US equity hedges. Volatilities have crashed lately (more here) and BofA sees attractive pricing of downside hedges (we agree, and skew works in your favor). They recommend the SPY May 395/405 put spread (approx 6x max payout). This expiry gives you the FOMC, most earnings and some other important stuff...

Source: Refinitiv

Never ever a false recession signal

Source: Credit Suisse

GS repeats: It ain't happening

Source: Goldman

Leverage anyone?

Source: TS Lombard

CTA convexity

Source: GS

Nobody in control

Source: Refinitiv

Is NASDAQ's real yields gap getting too wide?

Source: Refinitiv

Not all "stress" is dead

Source: Refinitiv

Too much cash for too long

Source: BofA

Sentiment sucks

Source: BofA