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So Many Bear Stories To Revisit

Shall we revisit some old bear stories?

Sometimes they come back. And many of them actually fundamentally never really went away - it was just that Miss Market decided to ignore them. Let's have a look at some of the "old" bear stories that could resurface again. First, those unrealized losses. In Q4 2023, unrealized losses on investment securities for banks hit $478 billion. Meanwhile, the Bank Term Funding Program has officially expired.

Source: Apollo

Sometimes they come back

Source: Refinitiv

It's a long way down...

Source: Refinitiv

Reserves and the rate of change

Source: Refinitiv

VIX cares?

Source: Refinitiv

That sentiment & positioning backdrop

Source: Barclays
Source: Barclays

This bear story never went away

Source: Goldman

The biggest scare story of them all

Source: Refinitiv

That bearish alligator gap

Source: Barclays

War

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