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TME daily: Prime time for affordable hedging

Got CB hedges?

Busy central bank week, but hedges remain rather inexpensive. UBS writes: "... hedging costs remain low with most index implied vols trading in single digit percentiles vs the last 2yrs (or at least close to it), creating an attractive opportunity to protect near-term downside."

FOMC straddle was priced at just below 0.7%, the lowest implied move since November 2021.

Source: UBS

Sometimes the market falls

Source: DB

Semis suck

Source: GS PB

AI - still a few years out

Source: JPM

Oil and rates

Source: Refinitiv

Hedge funds on the sidelines, computers not

Source: MS PB
Source: Deutsche Bank

Could we see risk on?

Source: JPM

Implied bid slightly stronger

Source: JPM

They love falling volatility

Source: DB

SPX's downside convexity

Source: GS
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