41% Of Americans Think Civil War Likely By 2029, Some Say Sooner Amid Chaos 

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"The possibility that America could face another civil war soon is not too far-fetched for a lot of voters." 


"Oooh! Rate Cuts!" vs. "Oh! Not Rate Cuts"

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Markets are their own happy story this morning as “Oooh! Rate cuts!” is again the meme du jour. But back in the real world it’s “Oh! Not rate cuts.”


"Bullshit": Stormy Spills, Trump Fumes During 'Hush Money' Testimony

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"You must be the smart one..."


Billionaire, Harvard Donor Ken Griffin Says Protesters Are Byproduct Of "Failed Education System" 

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"I scratch my head - the audacity. The students seize one of the halls, commit acts of vandalism..." 


More People Watch Video Of Fireplace Than Don Lemon's Live-Stream

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...not going so well.


Israeli Ground Forces Enter Rafah, Tank Unit Shuts Down Vital Border Crossing

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Videos confirm IDF tanks are rolling through southern city...


Russia Ready To Alter OPEC+ Production if Necessary

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“It always depends on the current situation, the balance of supply and demand,” Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday...


Disney Shares Plunge Most In Year On Subscriber Miss, Disappointing Guidance

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...the company doesn’t expect to see core Disney+ subscriber growth in the current quarter and profitability in streaming will suffer


"All Clear" - Goldman's Flows Guru Greenlights Bulls For New ATHs

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...becomes $5.50B worth of VWAP demand favoring the best and largest market cap companies


Peloton Shares Surge On Private Equity Firm Buyout Report 

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"Firms have zeroed in on how to cut Peloton's operating expenses..." 


Stuck in the Middle as Panic Implodes

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Choppy is here to stay for some longer...

What Will CBDCs Mean For Gold?

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...in a tightly controlled, micromanaged financial dystopia, precious metals will become the only way to make private or off-grid transactions, making them more valuable than ever...


The Fear Reset

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Hedging overall market risk with VIX options is rather cheap (again). VVIX has basically not closed much lower over the past decade.

Futures Flat As Post-FOMC Rally Takes A Breather

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"In this environment of growth not rolling over as much as we feared and potentially cuts coming in, there is upside for earnings going forward"


NHTSA Threatens Tesla With $135 Million Fine If It Fails To Hand Over Autopilot Data By July 1

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The letter demanded data on drivers.... 


Sober Gold Vs The Rate-Cut Circus Show

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...why compare one fiat currency against another, when gold outperforms them all?


Surging Distress In CRE CLO Loans Spurs Lender Rush To Repurchase Delinquent Multifamily Mortgages

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"The multifamily CRE CLO market was not prepared for rate volatility." 


Credit Smacks Of Complacency As Spreads Collapse

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Wafer-thin spreads on corporate debt don’t matter — until they do. There are several potential triggers for risk premia to flare, denting credit portfolios.

 


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  • European equities are entirely in the green; US futures are mixed
  • Dollar is slightly firmer, Aussie underperforms following the RBA, USD/JPY now around 154.50
  • Bonds are firmer and extending on the prior day’s gains; Gilts outperform on their return from holiday
  • Crude is flat awaiting geopolitical updates, XAU softer and base metals are mixed
  • Looking ahead, US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, CBR Policy Announcement, EIA STEO Comments from Fed’s Kashkari & BoC's Rogers, Sup

Bottom Watch: US NatGas Prices Snap Longest Losing Streak Since 2020

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April printed the first monthly gain since October.