markets


Here Are The 6 Options To Contain Soaring Oil Prices (And Why An SPR Release Will Do Very Little)

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All the listed policy measures will have very limited impact on oil prices unless safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz is assured...


US stocks finished slightly lower and oil whipsawed amid Hormuz mine reports - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open

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Iran reportedly begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, while US Energy Secretary Wright mistakenly posted that the US Navy escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz.

Loans To Non-Banks Threaten Banking Crisis

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...the cracks are visible, but the market is still hoping the damage remains contained.


Oracle Jumps On Solid Earnings And Guidance Boost Despite Soaring CapEx And Cash Burn

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The kneejerk reaction to the company's earnings has been favorable. Let's see if this continues into tomorrow's session...


Risk-on reverses after Hormuz mine reports - Newsquawk US Market Wrap

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Reports suggest Iran has begun deploying mines in Strait of Hormuz; Trump sees no reports of them doing so, but threatens significant military action if they are not removed; US Energy Secretary Wright, in a now deleted post, said the US Navy has escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz (later rejected by WH officials); IEA meeting reportedly ends with no decision on crude stockpile release; Weak US 3yr note auction; US existing home sales rise in Feb.; Oil tanker explosion near Abu Dhabi; AMZN attracts ~$126B of orders for US bond sale.


Crude Chaos, Software Slammed, Bitcoin & Bullion Bid

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...a Wright mess, no SPR release, and mines!?


Oracle Earnings Preview: All About Revenue Growth Vs Capex

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"Oracle is in a damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don’t position"


Iran Risks Compound Market Angst Over Private Credit

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...still-micro blowups in a few pockets of credit markets look more like an early warning for broader risk sentiment.


The Treasury Market Is Not Ready For An Energy Shock

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Treasury yields are not yet pricing in the full ramifications of the energy shock...


Ugly 3Y Auction Tails Most Since Liberation Day, Bid to Cover Slides

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A subpar, disappointing auction which however could be attributed to the melt up in stocks. However, if this weakness persists in the week's upcoming coupon auctions, that could be a problem. 


The Ultimate Decision Tree For War In Iran: BCA Sees 70% Odds Of 'Massive Oil Shock'

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The "buy signal" will come when Iran, not Trump, agrees to cease attacks and negotiate. That could be this week or next...


Liquidity Stress Building Beneath The Surface, Citadel Head Of Electronic Trading Warns

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...points to a market that is simmering on the surface, but starting to boil underneath.


ASP Isotopes Jump On "Material Progress Toward Commercial Uranium Enrichment"

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ASPI is one of the few names positioned across HALEU, medical isotopes, and quantum materials.


First Deutsche Bank, Now UBS Warns U.S. Airlines "Nearly 100% Unhedged" Against Energy Shock

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"The impact on 2Q, though, could be significant. We continue to believe that DAL..." 


Boeing Slides After Wiring Flaw Discovery Set To Delay Some 737 Max Deliveries

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The wiring issue is yet another manufacturing setback... 


World's Biggest Hedge Funds Crushed By Oil Price Surge

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Some of the world’s biggest multi-strat hedge funds like Millennium, Poin72 and Balyasny suffered hundreds of millions of dollars in losses last week after the war against Iran sent oil prices surging and triggered wild market moves.


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Top Goldman Trader Says Use This Bounce To Reset Downside Trades

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...gamma is quite negative across the entire spectrum of SPX prices, which backs the idea that high volatility should continue.


More Pain Ahead: CTAs "Sellers In Every Scenario" As Lack Of Liquidation Flush Keeps Biggest Traders On Edge

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"Sell estimates over the next week are some of the largest we have seen" - Goldman


After 144 Years In New Jersey, Exxon Asks Shareholders To Back Texas Move To Cut Litigation Risks

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"The Texas Redomiciliation may reduce the risk of future frivolous litigation against the Texas Corporation and its directors and officers." 


Futures Slide, Reversing Overnight Gains As "Off-Ramp Optimism" Fades

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“The war in Iran is not over and can intensify again at any moment. Any gains will remain limited until there are clear signs of an end to hostilities in the Gulf and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz improves again.”