markets


The "Canary In The Coal Mine" Just Froze: Why Blue Owl Gated Its Retail Investors

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When the tide goes out, you find out who's swimming naked.


IMF Urges Beijing To Curb Industrial Subsidies As Flood Of Chinese Goods Crushes Global Industrial Bases

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"Industrial policy has enabled tech innovation in some sectors, but overall the impact on the economy has been negative." 
 


How Bhattacharya's NIH Is Rethinking China, DEI, And High‑Risk Labs

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The NIH director outlines efforts to reform the agency—largest public funder of biomedical research. 


US stocks finished mostly lower in choppy trade amid a slew of data and geopolitical tensions - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open

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Energy prices continued to rally after US President warned "bad things will happen to Iran if no deal is made".

Bonds & Black Gold Bid Amid Mixed Macro, Creaky Consumer, & Tehran Tensions

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...nothing good!



Indices weighed as financials lag on private credit concerns - Newsquawk US Market Wrap

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Relative "hawkish" remarks from Miran; Trump says good talks being held with Iran but if no deal is made, bad things will happen; Initial Claims drop more than expected, Continuing Claims rise more than anticipated; US trade deficit widens more than forecasted; EIA crude stocks show unexpected draw; US Pending Home Sales unexpectedly drop; Australian u/e rate holds despite forecasts for an uptick; Trump admin reportedly indicates that USMCA could be scrapped; WMT beats on earnings but profit outlook misses.

'A Ticking Time Bomb': BCA Warns Yen Carry Trade Risk/Reward Is Poor

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Once the yen begins appreciating, the move is likely to be outsized given how large the YCT has become...


Goldman Warns Pain-Trade Not Over Despite Historic Hedge Fund Degrossing

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...hedge funds have turned more defensive and net sold US equities MTD at the fastest pace since Mar ’25


There's More To US Capital Flows Than "Sell America"

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Net capital inflow to the US is trending lower but is not negative...


Blue Owl Plunges After Halting Redemptions At Private Credit Retail Fund

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“We believe this is an important step forward for the fund as it creates an efficient process around returning capital to these investors”


Japan Quietly Changes Bond Market Rules To Avoid Its Own Catastrophic Silicon Valley Bank Moment

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"The recent JGB turmoil reflects dysfunction in a thin and fragile segment of the ultra-long end. These bonds trade in illiquid conditions and are dominated by a narrow base of institutional investors, such as life insurers."


The US Must Be Confident It Has A Plan In Place To Lower Oil Prices Once It Strikes Iran

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The balance of risks now tilts to a US strike after market close Friday, even if the materiel moved to the Middle East suggests any attack is likely to last weeks rather than being over by the Monday open


A Global Boom Is America's Gift To The World

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Far from withdrawing from the world in a haze of “America First” ideology, the US is still highly influential to the fate of the global economy and its markets...


US Trade Deficit Unexpectedly Worsens As Exports Slump Again In December

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...dramatically worse than the Trump-bragged-about October highs.


Futures Slide As Iran War Risks Add To Growing AI Disruption Fears; Oil Surges

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"What’s really interesting is that there seems to be no long-short strategy at play"


Airbus Shares Hit Turbulence After Dismal Delivery Outlook

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"AIRBUS trading down -8%, breaking 200dma and breaching lows of recent range..." 


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JPMorgan's Delta-One Desk Reveals Its Top "AI Disruption" Trade

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"a meaningful divergence has begun to emerge between companies insulated from AI displacement and those facing existential business model risks"


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US President Trump and his advisors have reportedly indicated that the USMCA could be scrapped, NY Times reports. Instead, the US could have bilateral deals with Canada and Mexico.

Chinese EVs Flood Europe, Signals Hollowing Out Of Bloc's Industrial Core

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"While Europe deindustrialises and focuses on Wokeism..." 

 


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APAC stocks traded higher following the positive handover from the US and with South Korea outperforming amid tech strength on return from the Lunar New Year holidays.