markets


"What Gets Us To 7,000... What Drags Us To 6,700": JPMorgan's Desk Lays Out The Two Market Scenarios

teaser image
teaser image

JPMorgan's Market Intel desk turns Tactically Cautious as it prepares for "what may be a multi-week period of elevated uncertainty"


'A Growing Number Of Problems For The Market...'

teaser image
teaser image

"I can not get my head around how a market that has this much going on had a vix last week with a 19 handle..."


The monetary Olympics are underway

Sponsored Content By Monetary Metals

teaser image
teaser image
The winter games are over, but the monetary Olympics are just getting started.

Sponsored Content By Monetary Metals


SaaS: Is There Opportunity In The Destruction?

teaser image
teaser image

The SaaSpocalypse makes for dramatic headlines, but the idea that AI agents will simply devour enterprise software whole ignores both the data and the institutional complexity of the businesses being disrupted.


Goldman's One-Delta Desk-Head Warns 'Geopolitical Escalation Is Spilling Beyond Its Original Boundaries'

teaser image
teaser image

...did 'retail' just try to call the bottom in 'software'?


Rep. Ted Lieu Spreads Bizarre Conspiracy In Congressional Hearing

teaser image
teaser image

He suggested that Trump not only abused a minor, but that she was later bumped off to keep her from speaking...



European Gas Prices Soar 50% After Qatar Shuts World's Largest LNG Export Plant

teaser image
teaser image

In a nightmare deja vu moment for Europe, LNG prices exploded after Qatar shut LNG production in the world's largest export facility. 


Goldman's Commodity Desk Lays Out The Oil Price Scenarios From Iran War

teaser image
teaser image

History shows that oil prices can rise significantly, and well above fair-value estimates when geopolitical uncertainty is high and when the market puts some weight on supply disruptions persisting


Trump's Strategy Is A High Risk-High Reward Gamble

teaser image
teaser image

There is no safety net if the US doesn’t manage to land this manoeuvre" - Rabobank


10Y Yield Extends Rise After Surge In ISM Manufacturing Prices

teaser image
teaser image

Production growth slowed in response to a near-stalling of orders from customers...


Key Events This Week: Payrolls, Retail Sales, ISM, Beige Book... And War In Iran

teaser image
teaser image

Key focus this week will be on the US jobs report on Friday, retail sales on the same day, the ISM indices (today and Wednesday), and the Fed’s Beige Book, also due on Wednesday


'Nuance Matters': Top Goldman Trader Breaks Down The Shifts Beneath The Market's Surface

teaser image
teaser image

...this is what you see when investors get nervous but don’t want to “fully de-risk” at the index level.


Futures Tumble As Iran War Sends Oil, Gold And Dollar Sharply Higher

teaser image
teaser image

"The endgame remains highly uncertain, ranging from a relatively swift political exit to a broader regional spillover. In such a fog of war, markets tend to trade probabilities rather than shifting facts."


"Judgment Tomorrow": In This AI World, Morgan Stanley Sees A New Risk Emerging Every Week

teaser image
teaser image

"From Venezuela, to JGBs, to Greenland, to tariff policy, to Iran, a new risk event seems to emerge on an almost weekly basis. And maybe the trickiest dynamic has been the shifting views around AI. Like T-1000, the antagonist in Judgement Day, AI can be almost anything."


teaser image
teaser image
US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Germany's Strategic And Economic Vulnerability

teaser image
teaser image

Germany is losing its competitiveness at ever-shorter cycles. Recent international trade data show that, with this trend, geopolitical options are literally evaporating...


Memory Becomes The New AI Bottleneck, Weighing On Markets

teaser image
teaser image

A bottleneck is threatening to spill over from AI servers into broader electronic products, pushing up device costs and adding an inflation impulse that could weigh on risk sentiment. 


Zerohedge store image

Gulf States Say They've Shot Down More Than 1,500 Iranian Missiles, Drones

teaser image
teaser image

United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan report destroying waves of projectiles, including 400 ballistic missiles, aimed mostly at U.S. forces.


When The Return Flight Is The Only Goal: Merz Ends China Trip

teaser image
teaser image

The German Chancellor is returning from his three-day official trip to China. In his luggage: a major order for Airbus and the bitter realization that Germany has been run down into an international lame duck. The detailed reception protocol only underscored respect for European history.


teaser image
teaser image
US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Goldman Derivatives Desk: "Signs Of Fear & Contagion Are Everywhere, But It's Credit That Is Scariest"

teaser image
teaser image

"What started as a single stock flinch early in the month turned into an index flinch mid-month, and finished with the first signs of a credit flinch as CDX IG widened 5 points on the week, amid surging put open interest... of all these (and for good reason), the credit flinch worries me the most" - Goldman