Brazil Elections: Right-Wing Bolsonaro Takes Early Lead Over Socialist Lula As Vote Count Begins
Bolsonaro's Polymarket odds have jumped to 85%.
Bolsonaro's Polymarket odds have jumped to 85%.
The variable that decides which way the market movex next is the one which nobody, including Warsh, appears to control right now: the bond market. If the MOVE doesn't calm down, the index is going to have to meet breadth halfway..
"... negative long-run returns were great entry points for stocks in 1939, 1974, 2009, commodities in 1933, 2018; long-run Treasury returns worst in past 100 years = entry point."
Among the records was a 2018 email exchange in which Lutnick and Epstein discussed a startup in which both men had an interest...
Headwinds clearly raise the bar for both EM local markets and sovereign credit. But stronger fundamentals, resilient global growth and, importantly, still-low market volatility lead us to think the more likely outcome from here is subdued returns rather than a disorderly sell-off
Scarce growth is not the constraint. The constraint is how long the market can pretend the cost of capital applies to everyone except the trade holding the index up...
Najaf is the chief hub for Iranian flights into Iraq, serving Shia pilgrims...
For every dollar of leverage Meta shows you, there's another $5.60 sitting in the footnotes.
Can you believe it!?
...the biggest question into Q4 is whether these stocks can remain "duration resistant"... as global rates are melting higher...
The attorney general's office is pressing the company on incidents tied to its models, including a July breach at Hugging Face.
In May, Customs and Border Protection awarded a $1.7 billion contract for border wall in Big Bend
Fixed income is sending some sketchy signals, and to the extent positioning is wrong, those signals risk turning into something bigger
The US is the largest oil exporter in the world, but its refinery infrastructure is aging and capacity is shrinking...
Brazil's federal police said they conducted a preventive operation targeting activity that could threaten U.S. diplomatic facilities.
"You know, right now, the score: barrels out of the Strait: U.S. about 1.1 billion, Iran zero."
A new federal legal case likewise accuses the Big Five of defrauding the government through unreasonable publishing charges...
"All state military, security and civil institutions as of this moment are mobilized..."
