...the Asia close/European open saw dip-buyers emerge across every asset-class... less systematic selling.

Strong ISM Manufacturing PMI report; BLS delays JOLTS (Dec) and NFP (Jan) reports due this week amid partial government shutdown; US and India reach trade agreement, US to cut tariffs to 18%, Indian to slash tariffs to zero; Eight OPEC+ members agreed on Sunday to maintain the pause in oil output hikes in March; Trump launches USD 12bln mineral stockpile to counter China; Zelensky expects new round of trilateral talks this week; NVDA reportedly halted plan to invest USD 100bln in OpenAI; Fitch rates ORCL's senior notes offering 'BBB' with outlook stable.

Though it still seems unlikely at this stage, if the reserve status of the dollar was genuinely threatened it would dramatically reduce the freedom to manoeuvre of US policy makers grappling with that “unsustainable” fiscal trajectory.

“You don’t have to be a genius... just don’t be a schmuck.”

...Goldman, Deutsche, and JPMorgan all remain bullish on central banks' buying bullion.

We will get a dense run of US macro releases, with the January jobs report set to dominate attention on Friday. We also have the ISM surveys, consumer sentiment and the latest Treasury’s quarterly refunding details

...an extremely hectic week with risk appetite sliding, especially for "fiat alternatives"... which were absolutely clobbered on the market's false assumption that Kevin Warsh will be hawkish.

Here comes the strategic rare earth reserve. 

"This pullback looks healthy to me, there was really some excess across gold, silver and some tech stocks too"

" This is going to be a global contagion... It will be a liquidity crisis..."

Finally, the inherent unpredictability of geopolitical events, including the possibility of a reversal of the shock, creates material market timing risk...

Suddenly the unthinkable is becoming all too possible... 

Sigh. It's not parody... It's San Francisco...

"I’m really excited about the partnership between him and Bessent. Having an accord between the Treasury secretary and Fed chair is ideal."

The world’s favorite US$ debasement hedge and great gold bulls only ended by great events:  end of Nixon in '74, Volcker rate shock in '80, end of EU debt crisis in '12, COVID vaccine in '20.

First, none of the names the White House had listed as contenders was particularly out of the mainstream on monetary policy, based on their public statements. Second, monetary policy decisions are taken by a committee through a vote.